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Data & Analytics
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Ashare ST Risk Filter

Predicts whether an A-share stock will be flagged ST/*ST in the next fiscal year, using financial reports, dividend records, audit opinions, and regulatory penalty data.

by HKUDSv1.0.0
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Connecting to VM...
npx clawhub@latest install ashare-pre-st-filter
6.1kStars
3.0kDownloads
1Current Installs
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v1.0.0Version
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Ashare ST Risk Filter Skill Overview

Ashare ST Risk Filter is a prediction framework for A-share investors who need to know whether a stock is likely to receive an ST or *ST risk warning in the next fiscal year. It evaluates four quantitative regulatory red lines and three factual evidence dimensions, outputting both a risk level and a prediction confidence rating. It depends on the tushare skill for financial data and includes a bundled script for fetching Sina Finance regulatory penalty records.

How to Use It

Step 1: Run in your terminal or install this skill on MyClaw

npx clawhub@latest install ashare-pre-st-filter
or

Click the Install button at the top of this page for one-click setup

When to Use Ashare ST Risk Filter

Best Fit

  • You are analyzing an A-share stock on the main board, ChiNext, or STAR Market and want to assess ST/*ST risk before or during a holding period.
  • You want a structured, evidence-cited prediction after a quarterly earnings release (especially Q3 or interim reports) rather than a manual read of financial statements.
  • You are monitoring a portfolio of A-share positions and need a repeatable, consistent risk-scoring process each earnings season.
  • You are researching an already-ST company and want to assess whether it is likely to escalate to *ST or face forced delisting.

When Not to Use

  • The stock trades on the North Exchange (8xxxxx.BJ), Hong Kong, US markets, or is a crypto or commodity instrument — this skill explicitly rejects those.
  • You need to detect financial fraud or predict the content of the next audit opinion — both are out of scope by design.
  • You do not have a valid Tushare token; without it, all financial data falls back to akshare, which forces confidence down and may produce unreliable results.

Key Features

Dual-Axis Risk Output

Every analysis produces two independent ratings: a risk level (极高/高/中/低) and a prediction confidence level (高/中高/中/低). These are derived separately so a high-risk conclusion with low confidence is clearly distinguishable from a high-risk conclusion with high confidence.

Four Quantitative Red Lines

The skill evaluates R1 (revenue + net profit, using min(n_income, profit_dedt)), R2 (year-end net assets), R3 (three-year cumulative dividend compliance), and R4 (consecutive loss chain with mandatory revenue linkage). Each uses board-specific thresholds for main board vs. ChiNext/STAR Market.

Regulatory Penalty Scoring with Subject Weighting

Penalties fetched from Sina Finance are scored over two time windows and weighted by subject type: company-level penalties count at 1.0×, while shareholder or officer penalties count at 0.5×. This prevents companies with shareholder-side violations from being systematically over-penalized.

Evidence Priority Hierarchy

When multiple data sources are available for the same metric, the skill enforces a strict priority order: earnings forecast or flash report > Q3 report > interim report > prior annual report. A higher-quality source always overrides a lower-quality one, and the source used is cited explicitly in the output.

tushare-first with akshare Fallback

All financial and fundamental data is fetched from tushare first. When tushare returns empty or fails due to insufficient credits, the skill automatically falls back to akshare and flags the downgrade in the output, reducing confidence by one level for any red line relying on akshare data.

Audit Opinion Escalation with Manual Lookup URLs

When audit data is available, a single qualified or adverse opinion triggers a high-risk flag. When the fina_audit interface returns no data, the skill outputs direct URLs to cninfo, SSE, or SZSE disclosure pages so the user can verify manually — it never silently skips this check.

Use Cases

Pre-Investment ST Risk Check

Before entering a position in an A-share stock, run this skill after the latest quarterly report to get a structured prediction of ST/*ST risk for the coming fiscal year, with explicit evidence citations.

Earnings Season Portfolio Scan

After each Q3 or interim reporting period, re-run the skill across held positions to identify any stocks where financial deterioration has pushed one or more red lines into high-risk territory.

Distressed Stock Escalation Assessment

For stocks already carrying an ST designation, the skill shifts its analysis to predict *ST escalation or forced delisting probability, applying stricter thresholds appropriate to the current warning status.

Governance Risk Surfacing

Use the regulatory penalty dimension independently to identify companies with a high frequency of exchange warnings, regulatory letters, or inquiry letters — a leading indicator of 'compliance-type ST' even when financials look borderline.

Requirements

  • tushare skill — required as the primary data source; needs a valid Tushare API token with credits for income, balancesheet, fina_indicator, forecast, express, fina_audit, dividend, daily, daily_basic, stock_basic, namechange, stock_st, disclosure_date
  • akshare skill — optional; used automatically as fallback when tushare returns empty
  • Python 3 — must be available in the execution environment to run scripts/fetch_sina_penalties.py (stdlib only, no pip dependencies)
  • Target stock must be an A-share on the main board (60xxxx.SH, 00xxxx.SZ), ChiNext (30xxxx.SZ), or STAR Market (688xxx.SH)
Connecting to VM...
npx clawhub@latest install ashare-pre-st-filter
6.1kStars
3.0kDownloads
1Current Installs
📦
v1.0.0Version
View Source

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